The number of people seeking U.S. unemployment benefits suggests hiring is slowing.
The Labor Department said Thursday that weekly applications dipped last week by 2,000 to a seasonally adjusted 386,000. But that was only after the department revised up the previous week’s data to show 8,000 more people applied for benefits than first estimated.
The four-week average, a less volatile measure, rose last week by 5,500, to 374,750. That’s the highest level in three months, although it is still 9 percent lower than the level from September.
Applications have started to tick up in recent weeks after months of steady declines. When applications fall below 375,000, it generally suggests hiring will be strong enough to lower the unemployment rate.
Some economists said temporary layoffs stemming from the spring holidays have inflated the figures. Many school employees are laid off during spring break and are eligible to file for benefits.
“What we’re seeing in the numbers is not unusual at this time of year,” said Carl Riccadonna, an economist at Deutsche Bank. Applications will likely fall in the coming weeks, he added.
Others said the gains may not only reflect seasonal adjustments.
“Discouraging news on initial jobless claims suggests job growth is slowing,” said Jennifer Lee, an economist at BMO Capital Markets. “Still growing, mind you, but at a slower pace.”
Hiring weakened in March after a fast start this year. Employers added only 120,000 jobs in March _ half the pace of the previous three months.
Many economists downplayed the weak March figures, noting that a warmer winter may have led to some earlier hiring in January and February. They have noted that the economy has added an average of 212,000 jobs per month in the January-March quarter, well ahead of last year’s pace.
The unemployment rate has fallen to 8.2 percent in March from 9.1 percent in August. Part of the drop was because people gave up looking for work. People who are out of work but not looking for jobs aren’t counted among the unemployed.
Lower benefit applications indicate that companies are cutting fewer jobs. And economists note that unemployment benefit applications are at a much lower level than they were last year, which is a hopeful sign that March’s weak numbers were a temporary lull. Economists say they will have a better sense of the trend in hiring when the government issues the April jobs report next month.
The deal is done, and now the reviews are coming in on Anheuser-Busch InBev’s takeover of the Dominican Republic’s national brewer.
The consensus: Smart, but spendy.
Bernstein Research senior analyst Trevor Stirling calls the $1.2 billion deal for a controlling stake in Presidente parent Cerveceria Nacional Dominicana “strategically attractive,” if also “pricey.”
ABI was already in the market - the Caribbean’s second-largest - with its Brahma label, but by combining two competitors, the brewer will now control 99 percent of all beer sales, which will allow them to “restore a healthy pricing environment” (in other words, beer’s about to get more expensive in Santo Domingo). It’ll also give them a strong platform to keep growing in that part of the world.
Stirling was confident in ABI’s ability to cut costs and make the operation more efficient. But he also noted that, at a price that’s 24 times CND’s earnings before interest, taxes depreciation and amortization, the deal was the most expensive beer merger in recent memory (on an EBITDA basis it cost twice what InBev paid for A-B in 2008, for instance) business card.
Fitch Ratings, too, calls the deal “a strategic positive,” and notes that the terms of the purchase mean that ABI could eventually own a 90 percent stake in CND. The Dominican brewer could “benefit greatly from the expertise” at InBev, which has a “great track record of integrating acquisitions and increasing profitability.”
“But at what a price!” wrote Beer Business Daily, which, like several other outlets reports that interest from Heineken drove up the price tag for CND. Still, BBD wrote “La Maquina (The Machine) continues to feed on what acquisitions they can get done out there.”
European officials travel to Washington this week seeking a bigger global war chest to combat the debt crisis as Spain
Americans are buying record numbers of hybrid and electric cars as gas prices climb and new models arrive in showrooms, giving the vehicles their greatest share yet of the U.S. auto market.
Consumers bought a record 52,000 gas-electric hybrids and all-electric cars in March, up from 34,000 during the same month last year.
The two categories combined made up 3.64 percent of total U.S. sales, their highest monthly market share ever, according to Ward’s AutoInfoBank. The previous high was 3.56 percent in July 2009, during the Cash for Clunkers program.
And while their share of the market remains small, it’s a big leap from the start of the year, when hybrids and electrics made up 2.38 percent of new car sales.
Buyers were drawn by new models like the Toyota Prius C subcompact, the Prius V wagon and Camry hybrid. Gas prices near or above $4 per gallon added to the cars’ attraction.
Stronger sales of the Chevrolet Volt and the Nissan Leaf were a positive sign for electric car makers. The two have struggled to gain acceptance from buyers worried about how far they can drive on a battery charge.
Another concern: Volt maker General Motors Co. had to change the car’s charging system because its batteries caught fire after government crash tests.
GM sold just 7,671 Volts last year, below its goal of 10,000. But in March, it set a new monthly record of 2,289 for the Volt, an electric car with a small backup gas engine personal loan for poor credit. Sales of the all-electric Leaf nearly doubled to 579.
Gas prices helped sales. The nationwide average for a gallon of gas jumped 19 cents in March, from $3.73 to $3.92, and it crossed the $4 mark in California even earlier. The $4 mark was a significant psychological milestone, said Paul Lacy, who forecasts sales trends for consulting firm IHS Automotive.
Lacy expects hybrids and electrics to make up about 4 percent of U.S. sales this year, although sales could drop if gas prices fall or if buyers get more accustomed to higher prices.
Lacy predicts hybrids and electrics will double their market share to 8.5 percent by 2017, in part because there will be more options on the market. Last month, 35 hybrids and electrics were on sale, double the number from 2008.
The proliferation of models will also bring down costs. Hybrids cost around $2,000 to $4,000 more than their gas counterparts, which can make them less attractive. Edmunds.com estimates it takes 11 years’ worth of gas savings to recoup the $4,595 premium on the Honda Civic hybrid, or 5.2 years to make back the $3,400 premium on the Toyota Camry hybrid.
Toyota Motor Co.’s Prius hybrid cars were the runaway best-sellers last month. They made up 57 percent of all hybrids and electrics sold.
The U.K. trade deficit widened to the most in three months in February as exports of cars and heavy machinery fell, especially to the U.S., China and Russia.
The goods-trade gap widened to 8.77 billion pounds ($14 billion) from a revised 7.88 billion pounds in January, the Office for National Statistics said today in London. The median of 18 forecasts in a Bloomberg News survey was for a deficit of 7.65 billion pounds. Exports fell 3.4 percent while imports were unchanged.
Prime Minister David Cameron is in Asia this week, leading a trade and diplomatic mission seeking to boost commercial ties with the region. The government hopes exports can bolster the British economy as manufacturers cope with rising unemployment and inflation that
President Obama on Tuesday continued to beat the drum for the Buffett Rule, his campaign-ready tax proposal aimed at millionaires and billionaires.
A central message of Obama’s re-election campaign is his argument that the very rich should pay more in taxes.
Quiz: What the rich really pay in taxes
"When it comes to paying down the deficit and investing in our future, should we ask middle-class Americans to pay even more at a time when their budgets are already stretched to the breaking point? Or should we ask some of the wealthiest Americans to pay their fair share?" Obama said recently.
Obama’s not alone in pushing the Buffett Rule. Next week, Senate Democrats hope to vote on legislation modeled on Obama’s proposal.
The legislation is not expected to advance very far, if at all. But you’ll be hearing a lot about the Buffett Rule in coming months.
And like most campaign planks, the Buffett Rule doesn’t necessarily make for the best policy, at least from the perspective of many tax experts.
What is the Buffett Rule exactly? The general principle behind the proposal is that millionaires and billionaires like investor Warren Buffett shouldn’t pay a lower percentage of their income in federal taxes than middle-class households.
Obama has even set a threshold for how much they should pay: At least 30% of their income.
The president proposed the rule last year as a guiding principle for tax reform, and he later touted it as a replacement for the Alternative Minimum Tax.
11 audit red flags
On Capitol Hill, the Senate will hold a procedural vote on one version that would apply to today’s tax code and serve as an "interim step" to tax reform.
The "Paying a Fair Share Act," introduced by Rhode Island Democrat Sheldon Whitehouse, would apply to anyone whose adjustable gross income exceeds $1 million. Those who itemize their deductions would get a credit equal to the value of their charitable contribution deductions, so as not to discourage charitable giving.
To measure whether a millionaire is paying at least 30% of his income in taxes, the bill would take into account what the individual paid in federal income and payroll taxes plus the new 3.8% Medicare surtax set to take effect in 2013.
The minimum effective tax rate would be phased in for those with incomes between $1 million and $2 million electronic check payday advance.
The independent Tax Policy Center estimates that 35% of the richest would pay higher taxes under the bill than they do today.
How much revenue would it raise? The Joint Committee on Taxation, which analyzes tax legislation, has estimated that the "Paying a Fair Share Act" would raise $47 billion over 10 years, or an average of less than $5 billion a year, assuming the Bush tax cuts expire.
That wouldn’t do much to help reduce federal deficits. In recent years, annual deficits have ranged from several hundred billion dollars to more than $1 trillion.
And if the rule were to serve as a replacement for the AMT, as Obama has proposed, it wouldn’t come close to making up for the $1 trillion-plus in revenue that the AMT is expected to generate over 10 years.
What do independent tax experts think of the Buffett Rule? Tuning out the partisan rhetoric on both sides, tax experts say the Buffett Rule would further complicate an already complex tax code by adding a new minimum tax on top of the old AMT.
What’s more, the evidence that the Buffett Rule is correcting a big disparity in the tax code is not so clear cut.
For example, even without a Buffett Rule, most millionaires already pay more in taxes as a percentage of their income than those in the middle class, said Roberton Williams, a senior fellow at the Tax Policy Center. Not always as much as 30%, but a higher percentage of their income than the vast majority of the middle class.
And the Congressional Research Service notes that today’s tax code doesn’t violate the Buffett rule as egregiously as Warren Buffett and others have asserted. Using 2006 data, the CRS found the average tax rate among millionaires is almost 30% — with about a tenth of them paying a rate higher than 35% and another tenth paying a rate below 24%.
Lastly, tax reform done right shouldn’t create a need for a Buffett Rule, an AMT or any other accessory to the tax code, Williams said.
The only reason policymakers call for such measures is when they don’t like the outcomes of the system they’ve got. Tax reform is their chance to design a better system. And if one goal is to tax the rich more, they can do that in a simpler, more effective way than the Buffett Rule.
Iran is signaling a possible compromise offer heading into critical talks with world powers deeply suspicious of its nuclear program: offering to scale back uranium enrichment but not abandon the ability to make nuclear fuel.
The proposal _ floated by the country’s nuclear chief as part of the early parrying in various capitals before negotiations get under way Friday _ suggested that sanctions-battered Iran is ready to bargain. But this gambit, at least, appeared to fall short of Western demands that Iran hand over its most potent nuclear material.
Still, the public jockeying ahead of the talks pointed to an attempt to ease a standoff that has rattled nerves and spooked markets with seesaw oil prices and threats of Israeli military strikes. The talks involving Iran and the five permanent U.N. Security Council nations plus Germany, to be held in Istanbul, are the first direct negotiations on Tehran’s nuclear program since a swift collapse more than 14 months ago.
Despite far-reaching complexities, the dispute effectively boils down to one issue: Iran’s stated refusal to close down its uranium enrichment labs.
For Iran, uranium enrichment is a proud symbol of its scientific advances and technological self-sufficiency. Iran’s president, Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, called the nuclear program on Sunday “a locomotive” for other showcase projects such as Iran’s space effort.
The U.S. and its allies contend that the same sites that make fuel for reactors could also eventually churn out weapons-grade material. Iran has repeatedly insisted that its nuclear program is for peaceful purposes only.
The ideas put forth late Sunday by the nuclear chief, Fereidoun Abbasi, are an attempt to at least acknowledge this huge divide.
Abbasi said Tehran could eventually stop its production of the 20 percent enriched uranium needed for a research reactor, used for medical research and treatments. But, he added, Iran would continue enriching uranium to lower levels of about 3.5 percent for power generation.
The framework addresses one key Western concern. The U.S. and others worry the higher-enriched uranium could be turned into warhead strength _ more than 90 percent enriched _ in a matter of months.
Yet Abbasi also directly snubbed a demand backed by the U.S. and some other countries. They want Iran’s stockpile of 20 percent-enriched uranium to be transferred out of the country. Abbasi indicated that it would remain in Iran.
“Such a stockpile could enable Iran to make a bomb in the future, should it decide to do so,” said Meir Javedanfar, an Iranian-born political analyst now based in Israel.
“Unless an agreement is reached whereby this stockpile is transferred abroad for conversion into nuclear fuel or, at the very minimum, placed under international supervision in an another country, it will be very difficult for the (world powers) to accept Iran’s current offer,” he said.
Last week, U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton said it was up to Iran to show that its claim of rejecting nuclear weapons is “not an abstract belief but it is a government policy.”
“And that government policy can be demonstrated in a number of ways, by ending the enrichment of highly enriched uranium to 20 percent, by shipping out such highly enriched uranium out of the country, by opening up to constant inspections and verifications,” she said at a conference in Istanbul to seek ways to aid opposition forces in Syria _ Iran’s main Arab ally.
Clinton will not be attending Friday’s conference on Iran. The State Department’s third-ranking diplomat, Under Secretary of State for Political Affairs Wendy Sherman, will lead the U payday loan companies.S. delegation.
Abbasi also insisted that Iran will never close down its new underground enrichment facilities south of Tehran, saying it would be “illogical” for the West to raise such a demand.
It’s unclear, however, whether Abbasi was conveying a real negotiating position or simply testing the waters.
The proposal came from an unconventional venue, airing just before midnight on a state-run TV channel for Iranians and other Farsi-speakers abroad. Iran has used its array of government-controlled media, such as its Arabic-language Al-Alam channel, to make regional and international policy statements.
Abbasi said production of uranium enriched up to 20 percent is not part of the nation’s long-term program _ beyond amounts needed for its research reactor in Tehran _ and insisted that Iran “doesn’t need” to enrich beyond the 20 percent levels.
“The job is being carried out based on need,” he said. “When the need is met, we will decrease production and it is even possible to completely reverse to only 3.5 percent” enrichment levels.
Meanwhile, Foreign Minister Ali Akbar Salehi was quoted on the Iranian parliament’s website Monday as saying he hopes for some progress in the talks. But he warned that Iran would not accept preconditions _ an apparent reference to last year’s impasse.
The U.S. and its allies have sought to press Iran to suspend uranium enrichment in exchange for receiving reactor-ready fuel from abroad. Iran has pushed back by refusing to curtail enrichment, which is permitted under the U.N. treaty overseeing the spread of nuclear technology.
“We will honestly try to have the two sides conclude with a win-win situation in which Iran achieves its rights while removing concerns of five-plus-one group,” Salehi said, using the name often used for the five permanent Security Council members and Germany. “But imposing any conditions before the talks would be meaningless.”
Abbasi’s remarks also could be a bid to tone down the rhetoric.
Last week, Iranian lawmaker Gholam Reza Mesbahi Moghadam claimed Tehran has the know-how and the capability to produce a nuclear weapon, but would never do so. Iran’s supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, also has said that Iran does not seek nuclear arms and described them as against the tenets of Islam.
“The Iranians themselves have said, at the level of the supreme leader, that they don’t have any weapons intention,” U.S. State Department spokeswoman Victoria Nuland said Monday. “Well, if that is in fact the case, then it ought be relatively straightforward for them to demonstrate that to the international community’s satisfaction, and that’s what we’re talking about when we see them.”
After a protracted flap over the venue for the talks, Iranian state TV reported Sunday that both sides had agreed on Istanbul. It said a second round would be held in Baghdad, and that its timing would be decided during the meeting in Turkey. This suggested that Iran views the process as a potential slow, step-by-step series of talks.
The venue still has to be formally confirmed by the European Union’s foreign affairs chief Catherine Ashton. But a diplomat familiar with the preparations for the talks confirmed to The Associated Press on Monday that Istanbul had been chosen for the first round.
The diplomat demanded anonymity because he was not authorized to disclose the information ahead of the formal announcement.
Walgreen Co. has already suffered punishing losses since December, when it ended its contract with Express Scripts after a bitter public dispute over pharmacy reimbursement rates.
And with this week’s merger of Express Scripts and Medco Health Solutions Inc, Walgreen will have to contend with an even larger giant.
Now commanding more than 40 percent of the pharmacy benefit management market, north St. Louis County–based Express Scripts Holding Co. likely will likely demand big concessions from other drug store chains and grocery markets that operate pharmacies.
Walgreen standoff with Express Scripts provides a telling test case of industry fears that the now super-sized Express Scripts, the nation’s biggest PBM, wields too much market power. Critics of the merger have contended the merger will give Express Scripts unchecked ability to force untenable contracts on retail pharmacies, while pushing consumers into getting their drugs by direct mail.
For now, Express Scripts plans to operate Medco as a stand-alone business. Express Script “absolutely will have more negotiating gower in dealing with both the chains and the independents,” said Jeff Jonas, a stock analyst at Gabelli & Co, an investment management firm in Rye, N.Y. “But they need to integrate the companies first, which could take up to 18 months.”
Jonas estimates that Walgreens stands to lose $4 billion in revenue in 2012 — about 6 percent of its total revenue — due to lost prescription sales from the Express Scripts contract, and could lose another $3 billion in 2013.
Walgreen Co. Vice President Michael Polzin said the company intends to honor its existing contract with Medco, but would not disclose when that contract is set to expire. Express Scripts spokesman Brian Henry also declined comment on the specifics of the Medco-Walgreens contract.
Employers contract with pharmacy benefit managers to cover their workers’ drug benefits. PBMs then deliver drugs through the mail or reimburse pharmacies for filling prescriptions.
From Walgreen’s perspective, the only thing worse than losing the Express Scripts deal would have been taking it.
“We firmly believe that this decision was in the long-term interests of our customers, employees, and shareholders,” said Michael Polzin, a Walgreens vice president. “We expect the short-term impact to lessen over time. If the same terms are offered to us by another company, it still wouldn’t be in our long-term interest to accept those terms.”
In the meantime, Walgreen will pursue a strategy of aggressively seeking deals with small and mid-sized pharmacy benefit managers and remaking its stores to offer a wider array of health and wellness services to consumers. And it’s trying to get lean for the challenges ahead, cutting costs at its corporate offices in Deerfield, Il., which began several months ago and will continue, probably including layoffs, Polzin said.
Walgreen has largely shied away from public comments about the Express Scripts-Medco merger, but other drug store and supermarket representatives have asserted that consumers will lose as Express Scripts drives up prices and profits.
Express Scripts, which has built its business on cutting health costs, counters that economies of scale resulting from the deal will in fact drive down consumer prices. “We have a robust and competitive industry, by any analysis,” said Express Scripts’ Henry. “We’re going to have to compete against a large number of PBMs who have their own special niche in the marketplace. … We believe we have a very healthy relationship with over 60,000 retail pharmacies and that will only continue.”
Walgreens dropped its contract with Express Scripts on Jan. 1 after months of stalled talks, and has seen its rivals — including CVS Caremark, WalMart, and Rite-Aid, along with supermarket pharmacies — openly advertise that their readiness to fill prescriptions of Express Scripts members. And those competitors have picked up a sizeable chunk of Walgreens’ business.
The drug store chain reported March sales of $6.02 billion, a decrease of 4.3 percent from the previous year.
“The negative impact on comparable store prescriptions filled due to no longer being part of the Express Scripts, Inc. pharmacy network was 10.7 percentage points,” Walgreens disclosed Thursday in a news release.
Meanwhile, Moody’s Investors Service on Thursday downgraded Walgreen’s credit rating by one small notch. The rating service voiced concern about the drug chain’s ability to win back Express Scripts customers.
So the conventional wisdom is that the Express Scripts-Medco merger puts Walgreens over an even deeper barrel. Walgreens might get along without Express Scripts but probably can’t afford to lose Medco, said Judson Clark, a stock analyst at Edward Jones & Co. in Des Peres.
“It’s in the best interest of Walgreens to get a deal done,” Clark said.
Walgreens “made an attempt to play hardball with Express Scripts and it didn’t work. It looks like it’ll be difficult for Walgreens to grow with this hanging around their neck.”
Meanwhile, Walgreens is expanding its health-related business beyond the traditional pharmacy. Since November 2010, Walgreens has opened about 200 “wellness format” stores in Chicago, Indianapolis, and through its subsidiary, Duane-Reade locations, in New York.
The stores offer immunizations, health testing, disease management progreams, and the treatment of minor ailments such as skin rashes, with the goal of lowering overall healthcare costs. The stores accept insurance payments but also have cash prices.
“We’re looking to focus overall on health, pharmacy and wellness. To help people live well, stay well, and get well,” Polzin said. “And that means creating a new pharmacy and health experience … Expanding fresh healthy food offerings in the store. Bringing more beauty and cosmetic services.”
— Jim Gallagher of the Post-Dispatch contributed to this report
Fisker automotive executives said Wednesday the company is open to building its new Atlantic electric car someplace besides the former General Motors factory in Delaware where they originally planned the car’s assembly.
While they say they are still committed to the former GM plant, Fisker spokesman Russell Datz told CNNMoney that the company is flexible enough to make the car elsewhere, should a better offer materialize.
Company chairman Henrik Fisker told CNNMoney on Tuesday that the automaker has secured about $400 million in private equity financing.
Prior to Tuesday’s announcement, Fisker had been waiting on funding from a $529 million U.S. government loan so it could begin retooling the Delaware factory. The plant used to make the Pontiac Solstice, Saturn Sky and Opel GT convertibles for GM (, Fortune 500).
Fisker has already received $193 million of the government money and recently began selling its luxury, $103,000 plug-in "range extended" electric car called the Karma.
But the rest of the money has been held up due to what Fisker says were some missed production targets with the Karma guaranteed pay day loans.
The Karma is assembled in Finland.
Vice President Joe Biden, Delaware Gov. Jack Markell and Fisker CEO Henrik Fisker were together in 2009 to announce plans for the Delaware production facility.
At the time, union workers were promised the chance to fill many of the 2,000 factory jobs producing the plug-in electric sedan.
Besides the money issues, Fisker has experienced other problems of late.
They include a battery recall and some less-than-positive reviews of the Karma. Critics say the car does not perform as well as it should to justify its price.
The DOE has also come under intense scrutiny for its loan program in light of Solyndra, the failed solar panel maker that got a $535 million government backed loan.
CNNMoney’s Peter Valdes-Dapena contributed to this report.
New Zealand authorities have filed charges against the owners of a cargo ship that ran aground on a reef here six months ago, creating what authorities describe as the country’s worst maritime environmental disaster.
Maritime New Zealand on Thursday charged Daina Shipping with discharging harmful substances from the vessel Rena. The charge carries a maximum fine of 600,000 New Zealand dollars ($489,000) plus another 10,000 New Zealand dollars ($8,100) for each day the offending continues.
The Rena ran aground Oct. 5 on the Astrolabe reef near Tauranga, spilling 400 tons of fuel oil.
Daina Shipping, incorporated in Liberia, is one of 80 subsidiaries of Greek shipping giant Costamare. Costamare reported 2011 profits of $88 million on revenues of $382 million.
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