Corn traders are bullish for a fifth consecutive week on speculation that dry weather in South America is damaging crops, boosting demand for U.S. supplies at a time when stockpiles are predicted to shrink to a 16-year low.
Nineteen of 25 traders surveyed by Bloomberg expect corn to advance next week. Lower-than-average humidity and dry soil will curb crop development in Argentina and southern Brazil through at least Jan. 7, according to T-Storm Weather LLC, a forecaster in Chicago. Argentina is the world
Warning: This column will feature no Top 10 list recounting the year’s biggest retail and consumer stories.
Instead, I thought I’d do something that journalists don’t always do so well, which is to follow up on some of our stories. So as 2011 comes to a close, I checked in on two businesses I’ve spilled ink on in the last year.
First, I popped into La Mancha Coffeehouse, a small, gutsy undertaking in the up-and-coming but still-has-a-ways-to-go neighborhood of Old North. I first wrote about the cafe in March, when it was about to open at 2815 North 14th Street, down the street from Crown Candy Kitchen.
As you might remember, a group of ’social do-gooders” had run a nonprofit cafe — Urban Studio Cafe — in the same space for about two years, but it ended up closing when it couldn’t make ends meet.
So Victoria and David Holden, who lived nearby and didn’t want to lose what had become an important community space, decided to give it a go as a for-profit cafe.
When I stopped in around mid-morning one day this week, the shop was empty aside from Victoria Holden and her only other employee. They were tidying up behind the counter. So how were things going?
“We’re good,” Holden said. “We’re here.”
Most of her customers are regulars — teachers stopping in on their way to school or workers from a nearby Habitat for Humanity work site, for example. A chess club meets regularly at the shop. And it hosts poetry readings now and then.
But it can be pretty slow at times.
“Business is up and down,” she acknowledged. “Some months we don’t get a full salary.”
The shop had an uptick, however, around the holidays, with more catering orders coming in and people buying gift certificates as presents. And this month, the cafe expanded hours to accommodate a late afternoon and early dinner crowd.
“But it varies a lot,” she said. “I wish there was some kind of (traffic) pattern I could plan for. But some things do revolve around weather and paychecks.”
Still, she’s been heartened by the community support, including regulars who have urged her to raise prices if she needs to.
“They say, ‘We just want you to stay in business. We just want you to be here,’” she said. “So that’s really encouraging.”
By the way, she does plan to raise prices next year to keep up with the rising cost of food and supplies.
A VINTAGE NEW NAME
In May, I wrote about Vintage Stock, a chain of new and used music, movie and video game stores that was moving into some of the shuttered Borders bookstores around town.
The Joplin-based company opened these multimedia superstores, which are larger than most of its other stores, under the banner of “Bam!” Two stores opened over the summer — one at Chesterfield Mall and another at Mid Rivers Mall.
But when a third store opened right before Thanksgiving in the former Borders space in South County Center, it went by a different name: “V-Stock.” Then earlier this month, the other two stores switched to that name, too.
Rodney Spriggs, the company’s chief executive, was a bit vague about the change when I asked if it was because the giant bookstore chain Books-A-Million had objected to him using that name. He said he couldn’t comment but did note that Books-A-Million has been using the “BAM!” name more prominently recently.
“All I can really say is that generally V-Stock ties in closer to Vintage Stock,” he said. “We chose to change it.”
How have the new stores been doing?
“They’ve been great,” he said. “We’re very happy with the sales numbers that have come out so far. It seems like the St. Louis customer base has taken to the concept very well.”
The newest store in South County has actually outperformed the other two by about 10 percent so far, he said. He thinks some of that may be because of demographics.
“South County is a little more blue collar, and I think they really like the idea of the value of buying previously viewed products,” he said.
Spriggs also has been a bit surprised by the popularity of the stores’ movie-rental business. After all, in the age of Netflix and on-demand cable services, who would go all the way to the mall to rent movies?
But Spriggs thinks he knows who: mall employees.
The number of Americans filing for first-time unemployment benefits took an upswing just before Christmas.
About 381,000 people filed initial jobless claims in the week ended Dec. 24, the Labor Department said Thursday. That was more than economists had expected and marked an increase of 15,000 from the prior week, when claims had fallen to their lowest level since April 2008.
The Labor Department adjusts the figures to account for seasonal trends, but still, the holidays can sometimes distort the numbers slightly. Economists look to the four-week average to smooth out volatility. In the latest report, that number decreased to 375,000, its lowest level since mid-2008.
"Around the holidays, initial claims tend to be volatile, so I think we don’t have to read too much into the small rebound today," said Aichi Amemiya, an economist with Nomura cheap pay day loans. "We believe the labor market continues to improve."
Meanwhile, continuing claims — which include Americans filing for their second week of claims or more — increased 34,000 to 3,601,000 in the week ended Dec. 17, the most recent data available.
Investors seemed to shrug off the numbers, optimistic that next week’s monthly jobs report will show employers ramped up their hiring slightly in December.
Economists surveyed by Briefing.com predict the report will show employers added 150,000 jobs in December, up from 120,000 the month before. The unemployment rate, however, is expected to rise from 8.6% to 8.7%, as discouraged workers re-enter the labor force to look for jobs again.
The U.S. Treasury again shied away from labeling China a currency manipulator on Tuesday, but it rapped the country for not moving quickly enough on exchange rate reforms.
The United States also chided Japan for stepping into the currency market to stem the yen’s rise, and urged South Korea to use such interventions sparingly.
Some U.S. politicians have argued that China has gained an unfair competitive edge in global markets by keeping the yuan artificially low to boost exports, and pressure has mounted in Congress for President Barack Obama to punish China.
But the administration prefers to tread softly and use diplomacy. The U.S. Treasury, in a semi-annual report, as usual said that statutes covering a designation of currency manipulator “have not been met with respect to China.”
It repeated its standard line that appreciation in the yuan has been too slow, calling it “insufficient.”
“Treasury will closely monitor the pace of appreciation and press for policy changes that yield greater exchange rate flexibility, a level playing field, and a sustained shift to domestic demand-led growth,” it said in the report to Congress on international economic and exchange rate policies.
The value of the yuan, which Beijing manages closely, has risen 4 percent against the dollar this year and 7.7 percent since China dropped a firm peg against the greenback in June 2010. The Peterson Institute for International Economics recently estimated the yuan was undervalued by 24 percent against the dollar, down from 28 percent earlier in the year. It attributed the change to both Beijing’s policy of gradual currency appreciation and higher Chinese inflation.
At the heart of the friction between the two countries is a U.S. trade deficit with China that swelled in 2010 to a record $273.1 billion from about $226.9 billion in 2009. The cumulative Jan-Oct deficit with China is on track to top that this year, running at around $245.5 billion.
The U.S. Senate this year for the first time passed a bill that would require the administration to slap penalties on Chinese imports if it fails to adopt market-based exchange rates. While the measure has made no progress in the lower chamber and is unlikely to become law, it shows the mounting U.S. frustration with its vital trade partner.
President Obama at the November APEC meetings, in his toughest words yet, told President Hu Jintao that China must play by global trade rules and act like “a grown-up.”
Beijing has warned the United States not to “politicize” the currency issue, and some economists have pointed out that nations such as Japan and Switzerland have intervened in currency markets without drawing Washington’s ire.
TARGETING TOKYO
The report did point the finger at Japan this time, criticizing Tokyo for its solo yen-selling interventions in August and October that followed a joint Group of 7 action in the aftermath of the March 11 earthquake.
“The unilateral Japanese interventions were undertaken when exchange market conditions appeared to be operating in an orderly manner and volatility in the yen-dollar exchange rate was lower than, for example, the euro-dollar market,” the report said.
“In contrast to the post-earthquake joint G7 intervention in March, the United States did not support these interventions,” the Treasury said, adding that Tokyo should pursue reforms to revive its domestic economy rather than try to influence the exchange rate.
A senior Japanese government official said the report did not change Tokyo’s position that its currency policy was in line with G7 agreements.
“This report does not make it more difficult for Japan to intervene,” said the official, who spoke on condition of anonymity due to the sensitivity of the topic. “We are committed to doing whatever is necessary.”
Japanese exporters have complained that the ultra-strong yen puts them at a competitive disadvantage. The yen was trading at just under 78 to the U.S. dollar on Wednesday morning, about 3 percent weaker than it was on October 31, when Tokyo aggressively intervened to cap the rise.
The report also noted that South Korean authorities “should limit their FX interventions to exceptional circumstances of disorderly market conditions and adopt a greater degree of exchange rate flexibility.”
MORE OF THE SAME
Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner has said the law on the FX report, which requires the administration to determine whether U.S. trade partners are deliberately undervaluing their currencies, is a poor tool to push Beijing on the yuan.
Instead, the United States prefers to argue for change at regular closed-door meetings with Chinese officials. It also uses international economic forums, such as the Group of 20 leading nations and the International Monetary Fund, to ramp up public pressure on Beijing to move more quickly to a more-flexible currency.
China is the biggest foreign holder of U.S. Treasuries, with about $1.1 trillion, a position that gives it leverage in international economic negotiations. Foreign exchange traders had not expected a change of U.S. tactics.
“It’s not very surprising. It’s sort of sliding it in under the radar. They’re (Treasury) really not in a position to make any major moves at this point,” said Sean Incremona, an economist at 4Cast in New York.
The Treasury Department has not labeled a country a currency manipulator since July 1994, when it cited China. A designation would require the United States to step up negotiations with Beijing on the yuan’s value.
The yuan slipped on Tuesday as strong dollar demand from corporations offset a record high mid-point fixed by the People’s Bank of China. The central bank set an all-time high dollar/yuan mid-point in an apparent move to let the yuan rise a little more at the end of 2011 so as to make the yuan’s full-year nominal appreciation look bigger, traders said.
Some U.S. manufacturers, which have been hit hardest by competition from China and other emerging economies, would still prefer the U.S. government to take a harder line.
“China’s currency is still enormously undervalued,” said Scott Paul, executive director of the Alliance for American Manufacturing, an industry lobby for hard-hit textile, steel and labor groups.
“I’m disappointed that President Obama has now formally refused six times to cite China for its currency manipulation, a practice which has contributed to the loss of hundreds of thousands of American manufacturing jobs.”
NEW YORK, N.Y.
+%3Cp%3EChina%92s+home+prices+posted+their+worst+performance+this+year+with+more+than+half+of+the+70+biggest+cities+monitored+in+November+recording+declines+after+the+government+reiterated+plans+to+maintain+property+curbs.+%3C%2Fp%3E+%3Cp%3ENew+home+prices+dropped+from+the+previous+month+in+49+of+the+cities+monitored+by+the+government%2C+compared+with+33+posting+decreases+in+October%2C+the+national+statistics+bureau+said+in+a+statement+on+its+website+yesterday.+Only+five+cities+had+gains+in+home+prices%2C+according+to+the+statement.+%3C%2Fp%3E+%3Cp%3E%93Home+prices+will+fall+further+as+the+government%92s+tightening+continues%2C%94+said+Jinsong+Du%2C+a+Hong+Kong-based+property+analyst+for+Credit+Suisse+Group+AG.+%93We%92ll+see+more+small+developers+file+for+bankruptcy+or+sell+off+their+assets+next+year.%94+%3C%2Fp%3E+%3Cp%3EThe+government+said+last+week+it+won%92t+back+away+from+real-+estate+industry+curbs+that+are+damping+home+sales+and+pulling+down+prices.+China+intensified+measures+this+year+by+raising+down+payment+and+mortgage+requirements+and+also+imposed+home+purchase+restrictions+in+40+cities.+%3C%2Fp%3E+%3Cp%3ENew+home+prices+in+China%92s+four+major+cities+of+Shanghai%2C+Beijing%2C+Shenzhen+and+Guangzhou+each+retreated+0.3+percent+from+October%2C+the+biggest+monthly+falls+for+these+metropolitan+areas+this+year%2C+according+to+data+from+the+statistics+bureau.+%3C%2Fp%3E+%3Cp%3EThe+eastern+port+city+of+Ningbo+and+Shenyang+in+the+north+close+to+the+North+Korean+border+posted+the+biggest+month-on-+month+declines+of+0.6+percent%2C+while+Guiyang+in+the+southwest+rose+0.2+percent%2C+the+most+among+the+70+cities.+%3C%2Fp%3E+%91Critical+Stage%92++%3Cp%3EThe+gauge+tracking+property+stocks+on+the+%3Ca+topic_url%3D%22http%3A%2F%2Ftopics.bloomberg.com%2Fshanghai-se-composite%2F%22+href%3D%22http%3A%2F%2Fwww.bloomberg.com%2Fapps%2Fquote%3Fticker%3DSHCOMP%3AIND%22+density%3D%22full%22+title%3D%22Get+Quote%22+ticker%3D%22SHCOMP%3AIND%22+class%3D%22web_ticker%22%3EShanghai+Composite+Index+%28SHCOMP%29+rose+0.3+percent+at+the+close%2C+the+only+industry+group+that+posted+a+gain+on+the+benchmark+measure.+%3C%2Fp%3E+%3Cp%3EThe+figures+came+after+private+data+also+showed+further+signs+of+cooling.+China%92s+home+prices+fell+for+a+third+month+in+November%2C+%3Ca+topic_url%3D%22http%3A%2F%2Ftopics.bloomberg.com%2Fsoufun-holdings-ltd%2F%22+href%3D%22http%3A%2F%2Fwww.bloomberg.com%2Fapps%2Fquote%3Fticker%3DSFUN%3AUS%22+density%3D%22sparse%22+title%3D%22Get+Quote%22+ticker%3D%22SFUN%3AUS%22+class%3D%22web_ticker%22%3ESouFun+Holdings+Ltd.+%28SFUN%29%2C+the+country%92s+biggest+real+estate+website%2C+said+earlier+this+month+based+on+its+survey+of+100+cities.+%3C%2Fp%3E+%3Cp%3E%93It%92s+more+and+more+clear+that+home+prices+are+falling+around+the+country%2C%94+said+Shen+Jian-guang%2C+a+Hong+Kong-based+economist+at+Mizuho+Securities+Asia+Ltd.+%93It%92s+still+the+critical+stage+of+China%92s+property+curbs%2C+so+the+government+doesn%92t+want+to+send+any+signals+of+easing+of+those+policies+too+early+as+it+may+reverse+the+trend.%94+%3C%2Fp%3E+%3Cp%3EChinese+developers+will+face+challenges+over+the+next+12+to+18+months+including+slowing+sales%2C+tight+bank+credit+and+downward+pressure+on+prices+and+profit+margins%2C+Moody%92s+Investors+Services+said+in+a+Dec.+15+report.+%3C%2Fp%3E+Vanke%2C+Poly++%3Cp%3ENovember+contract+sales+of+China+Vanke+Co.%2C+the+country%92s+biggest+developer%2C+dropped+36+percent+from+last+year%2C+while+those+by+Poly+Real+Estate+Group+Co.%2C+the+second+largest%2C+fell+28+percent.+Developers+typically+sell+homes+before+they+are+built.+Vanke+shares+were+unchanged+in+Shenzhen%2C+after+falling+as+much+as+2.6+percent%2C+while+Poly+climbed+0.9+percent%2C+reversing+a+1.5+percent+decline.+%3C%2Fp%3E+%3Cp%3EExisting+home+prices+in+Beijing+slid+0.7+percent+from+October%2C+while+those+in+Shanghai+retreated+0.5+percent%2C+according+to+the+statistics+bureau.+%3C%2Fp%3E+%3Cp%3EChina+faces+slower+growth+in+home+sales+and+construction+next+year%2C+Fitch+Ratings+said+in+a+report+on+Dec.+13%2C+adding+that+smaller+builders+will+be+%93more+vulnerable%94+as+the+government+maintains+its+property+curbs.+%3C%2Fp%3E+%3Cp%3EEasing+Measures%3F+%3C%2Fp%3E+%3Cp%3EThe+government+may+ease+its+measures+in+the+second+half+of+next+year+if+home+prices+in+major+cities+include+Beijing+and+Shanghai+fall+20+percent+from+their+2011+peaks%2C+according+to+Mizuho%92s+Shen.+Shanghai%92s+new+home+prices+gained+2.4+percent+from+a+year+earlier+in+November%2C+and+those+in+the+capital+city+added+1.3+percent%2C+according+to+the+statistics+bureau.+%3C%2Fp%3E+%3Cp%3EResidential+property+investments+accounted+for+6.1+percent+of+the+country%92s+gross+domestic+product+last+year%2C+according+to+Citigroup+Inc.+%3C%2Fp%3E+%3Cp%3EFalling+home+prices+helped+drive+sales+last+month.+Housing+transactions+rose+12+percent+in+November+to+416.4+billion+yuan+%28%2465.7+billion%29%2C+rebounding+from+a+decline+the+previous+month%2C+the+statistics+bureau+said+earlier+this+month.+%3C%2Fp%3E+%3Cp%3EChina%92s+home+prices+may+fall+between+5+percent+and+10+percent+next+year%2C+Kenny+Wu%2C+a+Hong+Kong-based+analyst+at+JI-+Asia+Research+Ltd.%2C+said+before+the+release+of+yesterday%92s+data.+%3C%2Fp%3E+%3Cp%3E–Bonnie+Cao.+Editors%3A+Linus+Chua%2C+Jim+McDonald+%3C%2Fp%3E+%3Cp%3ETo+contact+Bloomberg+News+staff+for+this+story%3A+Bonnie+Cao+in+Shanghai+at+bcao4%40bloomberg.net+%3C%2Fp%3E++%3Cp%3E%3Ca+href%3D%27http%3A%2F%2Fwww.bloomberg.com%2Fnews%2F2011-12-18%2Fchina-s-november-home-prices-post-worse-performance-this-year-amid-curbs.html%27+rel%3D%27nofollow%27%3ESource%3C%2Fa%3E%3C%2Fp%3E+
The worldwide popularity of loyalty programs has created a headache for the companies that offer then. There are trillions of banked miles and travel reward points out there that they
What is an effective way to protect a job site from copper thieves and other intruders?
Builders have a dilemma in trying to protect their construction sites. Until there is electrical power to the site, providing easy or cost-effective security protection is difficult. This challenge often leaves job sites with large amounts of copper and supplies unattended, making them easy targets for overnight thefts and vandalism.
Available are wireless, portable and battery-operated alarm systems that operate around the clock. They detect a trespasser on a construction site and are designed to react quickly enough to help catch a vandal in the act because the property owner gets visual verification from a monitoring station.
Ideal to protect vacant property, construction sites, air-conditioning units, storage yards and substations, battery-powered monitoring systems have a motion viewer with a camera that sends a video clip over the cell network to a central station. The video is downloaded and viewed by a trained operator. Operators who detect potential suspicious activity notify police. Officers can be sent to a video-verified event in progress.
These systems help eliminate false alarms caused by traditional security systems. At subdivision construction sites, owners can move the system from home to home as each residence is secured with doors and windows. Battery-powered security systems work much like a typical home system with an alarm code or key fob. The user can keep the system silent to increase the chance of apprehension or have an alarm siren triggered to deter trespassers. The result is fewer false alarms and an increase in apprehension success.
Stronger reports on the job market and manufacturing sent stocks slightly higher Thursday.
The Dow Jones industrial average rose 45.33 points, or 0.4 percent, to 11,868.81. The Dow lost 360 points over the past three days on worries that Europe’s latest plan to keep its currency union intact would fail.
Jack Ablin, chief investment officer at Harris Bank, said the upturn reflects a shift in investors’ attention back to recent signs of strength in the U.S. economy.
“We’re not completely insulated (from Europe), but trouble there doesn’t necessary spell problems for us,” Ablin said.
The number of people applying for unemployment benefits dropped last week to 366,000, the lowest level since May 2008. That’s a sign that layoffs are easing, a first step toward bringing down the unemployment rate, which currently stands at 8.6 percent.
A widely watched index measuring regional manufacturing from the New York branch of the Fed jumped to the highest level since May, far more than economists were expecting. A similar report from the Philadelphia branch also increased faster than analysts anticipated.
“The base of the economy is getting stronger,” said Steven Malin, an associate at money manager Aronson Johnson Ortiz.
FedEx Corp. reported that its quarterly income nearly doubled on strong growth in online shopping during the holiday season. FedEx is seen as a bellwether for the economy. Its stock jumped 8 percent.
The Standard & Poor’s 500 rose 3 no fax payday loans.94 points, or 0.3 percent, to 1,215.76. The gains were broad. All but two of the 10 industry groups in the index rose. Utilities and health care rose the most. S&P’s indexes measuring technology and energy stocks edged down less than 0.3 percent each.
The Nasdaq rose 1.70 points, less than 0.1 percent, to 2,541.01.
In corporate news, Michael Kors Holdings Ltd. jumped 21 percent to $24.20 on its first day of trading. The initial public offering valued the fashion design company at $3.8 billion.
Novellus Systems Inc. jumped 16 percent. The semiconductor equipment maker said late Wednesday that it was being acquired by rival Lam Research Corp. Lam fell 8 percent.
Rite Aid Corp. rose 3.5 percent. The drugstore chain announced that losses had narrowed in its third quarter.
European markets rose slightly, a day after big declines, as an auction of Spanish government bonds drew strong demand from investors. Germany’s DAX rose 1 percent; France’s main stock index rose 0.6 percent.
The euro rose against the dollar, moving back above $1.30, a day after hitting an 11-month low. The yields on Spanish and Italian government fell, a sign that investors were less worried about the ability of those countries to pay back their debts.
Olympus Corp. faces a deadline to report revised earnings Wednesday to avoid being removed from the Tokyo stock market after a whistle-blower questioned fees and acquisitions that turned out to be part of a deception to hide $1.5 billion in investment losses.
Former President and Chief Executive Michael Woodford, who has been in the limelight for first raising questions about exorbitant fees and acquisitions, is back in Tokyo to meet investors and legislators, and to try to lead a turnaround at the camera and medical equipment maker.
Woodford, a 51-year-old Briton and a rare foreigner to lead a major Japanese company, was fired in October after going public with his doubts about massive consulting fees on the acquisition of British medical equipment maker Gyrus Group in 2008 and other spending.
He was in Japan last month to meet police and other investigative authorities. He has said he wants to fix Olympus and has expressed hopes shareholders will back him.
Olympus President Shuichi Takayama has said Woodford lacks the right teamwork style to lead the company, although now acknowledges the positive side of Woodford’s whistleblowing. Olympus initially denied any wrongdoing and lambasted Woodford.
No one has been charged in the scandal. But Olympus management has said several top company men were involved in the scheme and has promised to investigate 70 officials, including former and current executives and auditors, to pursue possible criminal charges.
Meeting the Wednesday deadline for a revised earnings report is a must for Olympus to stay on the stock exchange, but it could still be delisted if seriously dubious accounting is found fast cash.
A third-party panel set up by Olympus, including a former Japanese Supreme Court judge, released the findings of an investigation earlier this month, which said top executives who were “rotten to the core” had orchestrated the accounting cover-up spanning three decades.
As of 2003, Olympus had racked up 117.7 billion yen ($1.5 billion) in investment losses dating back to the 1990s, according to the company.
The overpriced fees for financial advice and overvalued acquisitions were part of an elaborate deception utilizing overseas banks and several funds to keep the massive losses off the company’s books, Olympus says.
Japanese magazine Facta was first to report the dubious money.
Tsuyoshi Kikukawa, who was behind Woodford’s appointment as chief executive and later his firing, has since resigned as chairman. He is among several executives suspected of knowing about the scheme.
Last month, Olympus dismissed Executive Vice President Hisashi Mori, saying he was involved in the cover-up along with Kikukawa. A company auditor also resigned.
Olympus stock plunged after the scandal broke but has since recouped some of those losses on optimism it might not be booted off the Tokyo Stock Exchange.
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